The Weather Thread

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This topic contains 59 replies, has 5 voices, and was last updated by  playaweatherman 1 month, 1 week ago. This post has been viewed 793 times

Viewing 15 posts - 46 through 60 (of 60 total)
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  • #854

    playaweatherman
    Participant

    Tropical Depression 14 has formed and there is a Tropical Storm Warning for the Riviera Maya.

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    Warm sun, pristine beaches and the sweet breezes of the Caribbean…follow PuertoDISE and PlayaWeatherman on their adventures and experiences in the Riviera Maya!

    #857

    playaweatherman
    Participant

    Key information from the 7am update:

    SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
    ———————————————-
    LOCATION…18.9N 86.8W
    ABOUT 100 MI…165 KM ENE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
    ABOUT 240 MI…390 KM SSW OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 MPH…6 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1004 MB…29.65 INCHES

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
    * The Cuban provinces of Pinar del Rio and the Isle of Youth
    * The coast of Mexico from Tulum to Cabo Catoche

    The depression is moving toward the north near 3 mph (6 km/h). This general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center will move through the Yucatan Channel Monday morning and then across the eastern Gulf of Mexico late Monday through Wednesday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next several days, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today. The system could become a hurricane by Tuesday night or Wednesday.

    WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area by this evening or tonight, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

    RAINFALL: Total rain accumulations of 3 to 7 inches are expected over western Cuba and 2 to 4 inches over the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, and northern Honduras through Tuesday.

    #858

    playaweatherman
    Participant

    Now about 20-50% chance of tropical storm force winds along the Riviera Maya (greater chances further north).
    probs
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    Warm sun, pristine beaches and the sweet breezes of the Caribbean…follow PuertoDISE and PlayaWeatherman on their adventures and experiences in the Riviera Maya!

    #861

    playaweatherman
    Participant

    Here is GOES-16 IR image from 8:12am. Click here to see loop.  And visible loop is here.
    image
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    Warm sun, pristine beaches and the sweet breezes of the Caribbean…follow PuertoDISE and PlayaWeatherman on their adventures and experiences in the Riviera Maya!

    #864

    playaweatherman
    Participant

    Key amessages from NHC at 4am advisory.

    Messages

    #865

    playaweatherman
    Participant

    Arrival of strongest winds in the Riviera Maya should be later this evening and over night.  Expect on and off heavy rain next couple days.

    Interactive

    Legend
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    Warm sun, pristine beaches and the sweet breezes of the Caribbean…follow PuertoDISE and PlayaWeatherman on their adventures and experiences in the Riviera Maya!

    #868

    playaweatherman
    Participant

    Tropical Storm Michael forms off Riviera Maya coast. Get latest updates from the NHC.
    path
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    Warm sun, pristine beaches and the sweet breezes of the Caribbean…follow PuertoDISE and PlayaWeatherman on their adventures and experiences in the Riviera Maya!

    #870

    playaweatherman
    Participant

    Here is extent of tropical storm force winds as of 1pm.

    Winds_____________________________________________________________

    Warm sun, pristine beaches and the sweet breezes of the Caribbean…follow PuertoDISE and PlayaWeatherman on their adventures and experiences in the Riviera Maya!

     

     

    #871

    beam-eye
    Participant

    Thanks K!

    #872

    playaweatherman
    Participant

    Tropical Storm Michael’s center has reformed farther east.  Maximum winds now near 50 mph.

    Track

    Here is extent of wind field…strongest winds well offshore.

    winds

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    Warm sun, pristine beaches and the sweet breezes of the Caribbean…follow PuertoDISE and PlayaWeatherman on their adventures and experiences in the Riviera Maya!

    #874

    playaweatherman
    Participant

    Below is from the NHC interactive map.

    Interactive map

    legend
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    Warm sun, pristine beaches and the sweet breezes of the Caribbean…follow PuertoDISE and PlayaWeatherman on their adventures and experiences in the Riviera Maya!

    #878

    playaweatherman
    Participant

    Here is 7am update from NHC.  Looks like we dodged the bullet.  Only forecasting 1-2 inches of rain for Riviera Maya and maybe tropical storm winds in extreme northeast Yucatán Peninsula.

    Track
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    Warm sun, pristine beaches and the sweet breezes of the Caribbean…follow PuertoDISE and PlayaWeatherman on their adventures and experiences in the Riviera Maya!

    #880

    playaweatherman
    Participant

    Visible satellite image from NOAA GOES-16 at 8am shows the Riviera Maya just on west edge of cloud shield of Michael.  (Click on image for loop)

    Image

    #883

    playaweatherman
    Participant

    Michael now a hurricane and expected to be a major hurricane by the time it makes landfall on U.S. Gulf Coast.

    track

    And wind history.

    wind

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    Warm sun, pristine beaches and the sweet breezes of the Caribbean…follow PuertoDISE and Playa Weatherman on their adventures and experiences in the Riviera Maya!

    #884

    playaweatherman
    Participant

    GOES-16 visible image from 4:30pm today.  Click on image to see loop.

    vis image

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    Warm sun, pristine beaches and the sweet breezes of the Caribbean…follow PuertoDISE and Playa Weatherman on their adventures and experiences in the Riviera Maya!

Viewing 15 posts - 46 through 60 (of 60 total)

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